All published signals

COCHILCO's 9 October 2026 public sheet reported 233,025 tonnes at LME, 711,610 tonnes at COMEX and 58,744 tonnes at SHFE, for a three-venue composite of 1,003,379 tonnes; this was 18,842 tonnes above the prior collected sheet.

The three-venue composite increased 18,842 tonnes versus the prior collected sheet.

Price confidence: low

Counter-case: SHFE timing changed between sheets; COMEX and LME moved differently; The measure is not global inventory

Venue observation dates differ, and the measure excludes off-exchange, bonded, merchant, producer and in-transit stocks. A one-sheet increase is not a global inventory balance.

Next check: Collect a newer COCHILCO sheet, compare each venue on aligned observation dates and reassess persistence before restoring a price-impact direction.

The China Automobile Dealers Association listed a September 2026 automobile-dealer inventory warning index of 63.2%.

The index level alone has no verified comparison or direct copper-content measure.

Price confidence: low

Counter-case: High inventory can reflect weak sales; It can also reflect deliberate stocking; EV and vehicle production mix are absent

This is a dealer inventory warning index, not vehicle unit sales, EV production, wiring-harness output or measured copper consumption; the preserved snapshot contains the association's index-page headline and original article link.

Next check: Compare the next CADA index with official passenger-vehicle sales and production data before making a copper-demand interpretation.

China's National Energy Administration published that nationwide power-market traded electricity for January through August 2026 increased 19.2% year on year.

Growth in traded electricity does not quantify grid-equipment procurement or copper consumption.

Price confidence: low

Counter-case: Market reform can raise trading share; Physical consumption may differ; No cable or transformer volume is attached

Traded electricity volume is not grid investment, cable procurement, physical electricity consumption or measured copper demand, and the preserved snapshot is an NEA index page linking to the release.

Next check: Pair the next NEA power-market release with official grid-investment or project-award data before assigning a copper-demand direction.

The FRED/IMF monthly global copper-price series recorded USD 13,542.820869565219 per metric tonne for July 2026, down USD 9.220039525692 from June's USD 13,552.040909090911.

The monthly reference itself decreased by USD 9.220039525692 per metric tonne from June to July.

Price confidence: high

Counter-case: The observation is old; Intraday and physical premiums can differ; Causality is not established

This is an old monthly reference, not an intraday futures quote, physical premium, market balance or current trading signal.

Next check: Replace this item with the next available monthly observation and keep observed price movement separate from causal supply-demand assessment.

Freeport-McMoRan's Indonesia operations page reports 42,600 metric tonnes of copper cathode production from PTFI's Manyar refinery in 2025.

A single annual output total has no supported comparable period or current run rate.

Price confidence: low

Counter-case: No prior-year comparison; Commissioning and feed constraints; Output may already be reflected in inventories and prices

A single annual total provides no like-for-like prior-year comparison, current run rate or evidence that the facility has reached full utilization.

Next check: Check the next FCX quarterly or annual disclosure for 2026 anode and cathode output and an explicit operating-rate comparison.

Freeport-McMoRan's Indonesia operations page states that PT Smelting completed a 30% expansion in December 2023 and can process approximately 1.3 million metric tonnes of copper concentrate per year.

Capacity is a stock variable and does not establish utilization, throughput or incremental cathode supply.

Price confidence: low

Counter-case: Feed availability can bind; Maintenance can reduce utilization; Capacity is not refined output

Nameplate or stated capacity is not utilization, throughput or refined-copper production; the source says 2025 concentrate availability affected Indonesian smelting operations.

Next check: Check FCX operating disclosures for actual PT Smelting concentrate feed, anode output and cathode output rather than inferring them from capacity.